Monetary policy statement and projections · Brazil

Brazil BCB Monetary Policy Report

The Brazil BCB Monetary Policy Report is the Banco Central do Brasil's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.

Importance
Medium
Devise
BRL · Brazilian real
Banque centrale
The Banco Central do Brasil

Derniers chiffres

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Pourquoi c’est important

The words and the forecasts tell markets where the Selic rate is likely to go next. A central bank that raises its inflation forecasts or signals more hikes (the Fed's "dot plot" of rate projections, for example) can move the Brazilian real and bond yields more than the decision itself.

Mode de calcul

There is no single figure; the report contains the committee's projections (often the median of its members' views) and its assessment of the economy.

Ce que signifient les variations

  • Compare the new projections with the previous ones: the revision is the news.
  • Changes of a few words in the statement are often deliberate signals.

Supérieur aux attentes : Higher inflation or rate projections than expected tend to lift the Brazilian real and bond yields.

Inférieur aux attentes : Lower projections than expected tend to weaken the Brazilian real and lower bond yields.

Un bref historique

Central banks began to publish forecasts and statements as part of inflation targeting from the 1990s (the Bank of England's Inflation Report from 1993); the Fed's dot plot started in 2012.

Questions

What is the Brazil BCB Monetary Policy Report?

The Brazil BCB Monetary Policy Report is the Banco Central do Brasil's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.

Contenu éducatif uniquement, pas un conseil en investissement. Les chiffres sont les résultats publiés tels qu’enregistrés par notre calendrier ; les réactions de marché décrites sont typiques, non garanties.