Regional business survey · United States
United States Philly Fed Business Conditions
The United States Philly Fed Business Conditions is a monthly survey of businesses in one region of the United States run by a regional Federal Reserve bank (or, for Chicago, a purchasing managers' group).
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- USD · US dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Federal Reserve
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای OCT، در 2026-10-15 منتشر شد و 33.0 بود. این کمتر از 52.9 در دفعه قبل است.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 25.5 و 73.6 بود، با میانگین 44.8. سه انتشار پیاپی کاهش داشته است.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | OCT | 33.0 | – | 52.9 |
| 17 Sep 2026 | SEP | 52.9 | – | 73.6 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | AUG | 73.6 | – | 34.4 |
| 16 Jul 2026 | JUL | 34.4 | – | 50.2 |
| 18 Jun 2026 | JUN | 50.2 | – | 53.2 |
| 21 May 2026 | MAY | 53.2 | – | 40.8 |
| 16 Apr 2026 | APR | 40.8 | – | 40.0 |
| 19 Mar 2026 | MAR | 40.0 | – | 42.8 |
| 19 Feb 2026 | FEB | 42.8 | – | 25.5 |
| 15 Jan 2026 | JAN | 25.5 | – | 38.1 ® |
| 18 Dec 2025 | DEC | 41.6 | – | 49.6 |
| 20 Nov 2025 | NOV | 49.6 | – | 36.2 |
چرا مهم است
These surveys come out before the national ISM and PMI, so traders use them as early clues to the month. The New York (Empire State) and Philadelphia surveys, released mid-month, get the most attention; components such as prices paid and new orders give early signals on inflation and demand.
روش محاسبه
Firms report whether conditions improved or worsened; the index is the percentage reporting increases minus the percentage reporting decreases. Zero is the dividing line (except the Chicago PMI, where it is 50).
Index = % reporting increase − % reporting decreaseتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Readings swing widely month to month; several surveys moving together are more meaningful.
- Expectations six months ahead show how confident firms feel.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
The Philadelphia Fed's Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey began in 1968, the Empire State survey in 2001; the other regional banks added theirs over the following decades.
پرسش‌ها
What is the United States Philly Fed Business Conditions?
The United States Philly Fed Business Conditions is a monthly survey of businesses in one region of the United States run by a regional Federal Reserve bank (or, for Chicago, a purchasing managers' group).
What was the latest United States Philly Fed Business Conditions?
33.0 for OCT, published on 15 October 2026.
When is the next United States Philly Fed Business Conditions?
On Thursday 19 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.