Government bond yield · United States
United States 30-Year Bond Auction
The United States 30-Year Bond Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- اهمیت
- Low
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- USD · US dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Federal Reserve
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار در 2026-10-08 منتشر شد و 5.618% بود. این بیشتر از 5.308% در دفعه قبل است.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 4.694% و 5.618% بود، با میانگین 5.005%. سه انتشار پیاپی افزایش داشته است.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیشبینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | – | 5.618% | – | 5.308% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | – | 5.308% | – | 5.216% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | – | 5.216% | – | 5.058% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | – | 5.058% | – | 5.020% |
| 11 Jun 2026 | – | 5.020% | – | 5.046% |
| 13 May 2026 | – | 5.046% | – | 4.876% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | – | 4.876% | – | 4.871% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | – | 4.871% | – | 4.750% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | – | 4.750% | – | 4.825% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | – | 4.825% | – | 4.773% |
| 11 Dec 2025 | – | 4.773% | – | 4.694% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | – | 4.694% | – | 4.734% |
چرا مهم است
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Federal Reserve's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the US dollar; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
روش محاسبه
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
تاریخچهای کوتاه
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
پرسشها
What is the United States 30-Year Bond Auction?
The United States 30-Year Bond Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest United States 30-Year Bond Auction?
5.618%, published on 8 October 2026.
When is the next United States 30-Year Bond Auction?
On Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
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