Government bond yield · United States
United States 3-Month Bill Auction
The United States 3-Month Bill Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- اهمیت
- Low
- منتشرشده
- Weekly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- USD · US dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Federal Reserve
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار در 2026-11-02 منتشر شد و 4.040% بود. این کمتر از 4.050% در دفعه قبل است.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 3.715% و 4.110% بود، با میانگین 3.951%. سه انتشار پیاپی کاهش داشته است.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | – | 4.040% | – | 4.050% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | – | 4.050% | – | 4.095% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | – | 4.095% | – | 4.085% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | – | 4.085% | – | 4.050% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | – | 4.050% | – | 4.110% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | – | 4.110% | – | 4.015% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | – | 4.015% | – | 3.970% |
| 14 Sep 2026 | – | 3.970% | – | 3.800% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | – | 3.800% | – | 3.770% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | – | 3.770% | – | 3.715% |
| 24 Aug 2026 | – | 3.715% | – | 3.715% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | – | 3.715% | – | 3.735% |
چرا مهم است
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Federal Reserve's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the US dollar; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
روش محاسبه
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
پرسش‌ها
What is the United States 3-Month Bill Auction?
The United States 3-Month Bill Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest United States 3-Month Bill Auction?
4.040%, published on 2 November 2026.
When is the next United States 3-Month Bill Auction?
On Monday 9 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.