Government bond yield · United States
United States 10-Year TIPS Auction
The United States 10-Year TIPS Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- اهمیت
- Low
- منتشرشده
- Quarterly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- USD · US dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Federal Reserve
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار در 2026-09-17 منتشر شد و 2.653% بود. این بیشتر از 2.438% در دفعه قبل است.
در 10 انتشار اخیر بین 1.734% و 2.653% بود، با میانگین 2.062%. سه انتشار پیاپی افزایش داشته است.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | – | 2.653% | – | 2.438% |
| 21 May 2026 | – | 2.169% | – | 1.896% |
| 19 Mar 2026 | – | 1.896% | – | 1.940% |
| 22 Jan 2026 | – | 1.940% | – | 1.843% |
| 20 Nov 2025 | – | 1.843% | – | 1.734% |
| 18 Sep 2025 | – | 1.734% | – | 1.985% |
| 24 Jul 2025 | – | 1.985% | – | 2.220% |
| 22 May 2025 | – | 2.220% | – | 1.935% |
| 20 Mar 2025 | – | 1.935% | – | 2.243% |
| 23 Jan 2025 | – | 2.243% | – | 2.071% |
چرا مهم است
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Federal Reserve's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the US dollar; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
روش محاسبه
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
پرسش‌ها
What is the United States 10-Year TIPS Auction?
The United States 10-Year TIPS Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest United States 10-Year TIPS Auction?
2.653%, published on 17 September 2026.
When is the next United States 10-Year TIPS Auction?
On Thursday 19 November 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
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