GDP growth (annual) · Mexico

Mexico GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel

The Mexico GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel measures how much the economy of Mexico grew compared with the same period a year earlier.

Importance
Medium
Released
Quarterly
Currency
MXN · Mexican peso
Central bank
The Banco de México (Banxico)
Moves
USDMXN

Latest figures

The latest release for Q3, published on 30 October 2026, came in at 3.2%, above the consensus of 2.5%, up from 2.1% the time before.

A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Mexican peso and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

Over the last 8 releases it ranged from -0.2% to 3.2%, averaging 1.0%; it has been rising for three releases in a row.

Jan 2025: 0.6%Apr 2025: 0.6%Jul 2025: 0.1%Oct 2025: -0.2%Jan 2026: 1.6%Apr 2026: 0.1%Jul 2026: 2.2%Oct 2026: 3.2% Jan 2025Oct 2026
Actual results; the short line on a bar marks the consensus.
ReleasedForActualConsensusPrevious
30 Oct 2026Q33.2%2.5%2.1%
30 Jul 2026Q22.2%1.5%0.2%
30 Apr 2026Q10.1%0.8%1.8%
30 Jan 2026Q41.6%1.3%-0.1%
30 Oct 2025Q3-0.2%-0.2%0%
30 Jul 2025Q20.1%0.2%0.8%
30 Apr 2025Q10.6%0.6%0.5%
30 Jan 2025Q40.6%1.2%1.6%

See it in the economic calendar →

Why it matters

The yearly rate is less noisy than the quarterly change and is the figure most people mean by "economic growth". It shapes the earnings outlook for local companies, tax revenue, and the Banco de México (Banxico)'s view of how much spare capacity the economy has.

How it is calculated

INEGI compares real GDP (after inflation) with the same quarter or year before; full-year figures sum the four quarters.

Growth (yoy) = real GDP ÷ real GDP a year ago − 1

What changes mean

  • Growth above the country's trend (about 1–2% for advanced economies, more for emerging ones) tends to raise inflation pressure.
  • Annual growth turns only slowly; the quarterly figure shows turning points earlier.

Higher than expected: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Mexican peso and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

Lower than expected: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Mexican peso tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

A short history

Annual national accounts spread after the Second World War under the UN System of National Accounts (first edition 1953).

Questions

What is the Mexico GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel?

The Mexico GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel measures how much the economy of Mexico grew compared with the same period a year earlier.

What was the latest Mexico GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel?

3.2% for Q3, published on 30 October 2026 (consensus 2.5%, previous 2.1%).

Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.