United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

最新数据

最新一期（OCT）于 2026-10-15 公布，数值为 20.9。 低于 28.4 的市场预期。 低于上次的 37.8。

A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

最近 12 次公布中介于 -10.2 至 47.4，平均 18.3。 已连续三次公布下降。

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为何重要

These surveys come out before the national ISM and PMI, so traders use them as early clues to the month. The New York (Empire State) and Philadelphia surveys, released mid-month, get the most attention; components such as prices paid and new orders give early signals on inflation and demand.

计算方法

Firms report whether conditions improved or worsened; the index is the percentage reporting increases minus the percentage reporting decreases. Zero is the dividing line (except the Chicago PMI, where it is 50).

Index = % reporting increase − % reporting decrease

变化意味着什么

• Readings swing widely month to month; several surveys moving together are more meaningful.
• Expectations six months ahead show how confident firms feel.

简史

The Philadelphia Fed's Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey began in 1968, the Empire State survey in 2001; the other regional banks added theirs over the following decades.

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