United States NAHB Housing Market Index

最新数据

最新一期（OCT）于 2026-10-19 公布，数值为 29。 低于 32 的市场预期。 低于上次的 32。

A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

最近 12 次公布中介于 29 至 39，平均 35。 已连续三次公布下降。

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为何重要

Housing is the main channel through which interest rates reach the economy: higher mortgage rates cool sales and building first. Home prices drive household wealth and confidence, and in some countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the UK) housing figures weigh heavily on central-bank decisions.

计算方法

Prices come from repeat sales of the same homes (Case-Shiller), mortgage-lender data (Nationwide, Halifax) or official registries; permits and starts from local authorities; sales from estate-agent associations; mortgage applications from lenders' weekly surveys.

变化意味着什么

• Permits lead starts, which lead construction activity by months.
• Falling sales with stable prices is the usual first stage of a cooling market.
• Mortgage applications react within weeks to changes in mortgage rates.

简史

Karl Case and Robert Shiller built their repeat-sales home price index in the 1980s; the 2006–2009 US housing collapse made housing data central to market analysis.

问题