Germany GfK Consumer Confidence

最新数据

最新一期（NOV）于 2026-10-28 公布，数值为 -30.8。 高于 -30.9 的市场预期。 低于上次的 -30.6。

A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the euro and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

最近 12 次公布中介于 -33.3 至 -23.2，平均 -27.6。 已连续三次公布下降。

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为何重要

Household spending is the largest part of most economies. Confidence surveys come out early in the month and help forecast spending; they also capture inflation worries and political shocks quickly.

计算方法

A representative sample of households answers questions on current and expected conditions; answers are combined into a balance (positive minus negative) or an index relative to a base year.

变化意味着什么

• Confidence and actual spending often diverge in the short run; trends matter more than one month.
• Sharp drops after shocks (energy prices, elections) tend to recover if jobs hold up.

简史

George Katona started the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers in 1946; the European Commission and many national institutes run similar surveys today.

问题