Regional business survey · United States
United States Philly Fed New Orders
The United States Philly Fed New Orders is a monthly survey of businesses in one region of the United States run by a regional Federal Reserve bank (or, for Chicago, a purchasing managers' group).
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Monthly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- USD · US dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Federal Reserve
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за OCT, вышла 2026-10-15; значение: 4.3. Это ниже, чем 29.2 в прошлый раз.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от -8.6 до 37.0, в среднем 15.9. Показатель снижался три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | OCT | 4.3 | – | 29.2 |
| 17 Sep 2026 | SEP | 29.2 | – | 30.1 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | AUG | 30.1 | – | 37.0 |
| 16 Jul 2026 | JUL | 37.0 | – | 27.3 |
| 18 Jun 2026 | JUN | 27.3 | – | -1.7 |
| 21 May 2026 | MAY | -1.7 | – | 33.0 |
| 16 Apr 2026 | APR | 33.0 | – | 8.6 |
| 19 Mar 2026 | MAR | 8.6 | – | 11.7 |
| 19 Feb 2026 | FEB | 11.7 | – | 14.4 |
| 15 Jan 2026 | JAN | 14.4 | – | 5.7 ® |
| 18 Dec 2025 | DEC | 5.0 | – | -8.6 |
| 20 Nov 2025 | NOV | -8.6 | – | 18.2 |
Почему это важно
These surveys come out before the national ISM and PMI, so traders use them as early clues to the month. The New York (Empire State) and Philadelphia surveys, released mid-month, get the most attention; components such as prices paid and new orders give early signals on inflation and demand.
Как считается
Firms report whether conditions improved or worsened; the index is the percentage reporting increases minus the percentage reporting decreases. Zero is the dividing line (except the Chicago PMI, where it is 50).
Index = % reporting increase − % reporting decreaseЧто означают изменения
- Readings swing widely month to month; several surveys moving together are more meaningful.
- Expectations six months ahead show how confident firms feel.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
The Philadelphia Fed's Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey began in 1968, the Empire State survey in 2001; the other regional banks added theirs over the following decades.
Вопросы
What is the United States Philly Fed New Orders?
The United States Philly Fed New Orders is a monthly survey of businesses in one region of the United States run by a regional Federal Reserve bank (or, for Chicago, a purchasing managers' group).
What was the latest United States Philly Fed New Orders?
4.3 for OCT, published on 15 October 2026.
When is the next United States Philly Fed New Orders?
On Thursday 19 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.