United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index

Последние данные

Последняя публикация, за OCT, вышла 2026-10-15; значение: 25.50. Это выше консенсус-прогноза 10.3. Это выше, чем 7.60 в прошлый раз.

A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от -3.90 до 25.50, в среднем 11.25.

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Почему это важно

These surveys come out before the national ISM and PMI, so traders use them as early clues to the month. The New York (Empire State) and Philadelphia surveys, released mid-month, get the most attention; components such as prices paid and new orders give early signals on inflation and demand.

Как считается

Firms report whether conditions improved or worsened; the index is the percentage reporting increases minus the percentage reporting decreases. Zero is the dividing line (except the Chicago PMI, where it is 50).

Index = % reporting increase − % reporting decrease

Что означают изменения

• Readings swing widely month to month; several surveys moving together are more meaningful.
• Expectations six months ahead show how confident firms feel.

Краткая история

The Philadelphia Fed's Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey began in 1968, the Empire State survey in 2001; the other regional banks added theirs over the following decades.

Вопросы