GDP components · United States
United States Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Prel
The United States Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Prel is one part of the national accounts of the United States: what households spend, what businesses invest, what they earn, or how productive workers are.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- USD · US dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Federal Reserve
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за Q3, вышла 2026-11-05; значение: 3.6%. Это выше консенсус-прогноза 2.8%. Это выше, чем 2.1% в прошлый раз (пересмотрено).
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
За последние 8 публикаций значение колебалось от -0.8% до 4.9%, в среднем 2.0%. Показатель рос три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2026 | Q3 | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% ® |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Q2 | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% ® |
| 7 May 2026 | Q1 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% ® |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Q4 | 2.8% | 1.9% | 5.2% ® |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Q3 | 4.9% | 3% | 4.1% ® |
| 7 Aug 2025 | Q2 | 2.4% | 2% | -1.8% ® |
| 8 May 2025 | Q1 | -0.8% | -0.7% | 1.7% ® |
| 6 Feb 2025 | Q4 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% ® |
Почему это важно
GDP's headline hides its drivers. Household spending is usually the largest part of demand; investment is the most cyclical and tells you about firms' confidence; productivity and labour costs decide whether growth can continue without inflation.
Как считается
the Bureau of Labor Statistics (prices and jobs), the Bureau of Economic Analysis (GDP, income and spending) and the Census Bureau (retail sales, housing, trade) estimates each component from surveys, tax and trade data, after inflation where noted ("real").
Что означают изменения
- Strong spending with weak income growth cannot last: watch the savings rate.
- Productivity growth lets wages rise without pushing up prices; unit labour costs show the opposite.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
The components follow the expenditure approach to GDP set out by Keynesian economics in the 1930s and standardised in the System of National Accounts.
Вопросы
What is the United States Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Prel?
The United States Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Prel is one part of the national accounts of the United States: what households spend, what businesses invest, what they earn, or how productive workers are.
What was the latest United States Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Prel?
3.6% for Q3, published on 5 November 2026 (consensus 2.8%, previous 2.1%).
When is the next United States Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Prel?
On Thursday 4 February 2027 at 13:30 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.