ISM business survey · United States
United States ISM Services PMI
The United States ISM Services PMI is part of the Institute for Supply Management's monthly survey of purchasing managers in the United States: overall activity, or one component such as new orders, employment or prices paid.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Monthly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- USD · US dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Federal Reserve
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за OCT, вышла 2026-11-04; значение: 54.5. Это ниже консенсус-прогноза 54.8. Это ниже, чем 54.9 в прошлый раз.
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 52.6 до 56.1, в среднем 54.3. Показатель снижался три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | OCT | 54.5 | 54.8 | 54.9 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | SEP | 54.9 | 55 | 55.4 |
| 3 Sep 2026 | AUG | 55.4 | 54.3 | 54.1 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | JUL | 54.1 | 54.5 | 54.0 |
| 6 Jul 2026 | JUN | 54.0 | 54 | 54.5 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | MAY | 54.5 | 53.8 | 53.6 |
| 5 May 2026 | APR | 53.6 | 53.7 | 54.0 |
| 6 Apr 2026 | MAR | 54.0 | 55 | 56.1 |
| 4 Mar 2026 | FEB | 56.1 | 53.5 | 53.8 |
| 4 Feb 2026 | JAN | 53.8 | 53.5 | 53.8 ® |
| 7 Jan 2026 | DEC | 54.4 | 52.3 | 52.6 |
| 3 Dec 2025 | NOV | 52.6 | 52.1 | 52.4 |
Почему это важно
ISM is the oldest and most watched US business survey. Its headline indexes are released on the first business days of the month and give the first read of the month's economy; the prices component is watched as an early inflation signal and the new-orders component as a guide to the months ahead.
Как считается
Purchasing managers answer whether activity is higher, the same or lower than the previous month. The index is the share answering higher plus half the share answering the same.
Diffusion index = % higher + ½ × % same
Above 50 = expanding, below 50 = contractingЧто означают изменения
- The distance from 50 matters more than the change: 48 is mild contraction, 45 is serious.
- Prices paid above 60 has usually meant rising goods inflation.
- The services index covers most of the economy and often matters more than manufacturing.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
Purchasing managers' surveys in the US date back to the 1930s; the national survey that became the ISM Report on Business has been published monthly since 1948.
Вопросы
What is the United States ISM Services PMI?
The United States ISM Services PMI is part of the Institute for Supply Management's monthly survey of purchasing managers in the United States: overall activity, or one component such as new orders, employment or prices paid.
What was the latest United States ISM Services PMI?
54.5 for OCT, published on 4 November 2026 (consensus 54.8, previous 54.9).
When is the next United States ISM Services PMI?
On Thursday 3 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.