United States ISM Manufacturing Employment

Последние данные

Последняя публикация, за OCT, вышла 2026-11-02; значение: 52.4. Это ниже, чем 52.7 в прошлый раз.

За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 44.0 до 52.8, в среднем 49.0.

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Почему это важно

ISM is the oldest and most watched US business survey. Its headline indexes are released on the first business days of the month and give the first read of the month's economy; the prices component is watched as an early inflation signal and the new-orders component as a guide to the months ahead.

Как считается

Purchasing managers answer whether activity is higher, the same or lower than the previous month. The index is the share answering higher plus half the share answering the same.

Diffusion index = % higher + ½ × % same
Above 50 = expanding, below 50 = contracting

Что означают изменения

• The distance from 50 matters more than the change: 48 is mild contraction, 45 is serious.
• Prices paid above 60 has usually meant rising goods inflation.
• The services index covers most of the economy and often matters more than manufacturing.

Краткая история

Purchasing managers' surveys in the US date back to the 1930s; the national survey that became the ISM Report on Business has been published monthly since 1948.

Вопросы