Government bond yield · United States
United States 6-Month Bill Auction
The United States 6-Month Bill Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- Важность
- Low
- Опубликовано
- Weekly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- USD · US dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Federal Reserve
Последние данные
Последняя публикация вышла 2026-11-02; значение: 4.150%. Это ниже, чем 4.210% в прошлый раз.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 3.780% до 4.285%, в среднем 4.066%. Показатель снижался три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | – | 4.150% | – | 4.210% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | – | 4.210% | – | 4.220% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | – | 4.220% | – | 4.200% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | – | 4.200% | – | 4.165% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | – | 4.165% | – | 4.285% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | – | 4.285% | – | 4.155% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | – | 4.155% | – | 4.060% |
| 14 Sep 2026 | – | 4.060% | – | 3.890% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | – | 3.890% | – | 3.885% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | – | 3.885% | – | 3.790% |
| 24 Aug 2026 | – | 3.790% | – | 3.780% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | – | 3.780% | – | 3.830% |
Почему это важно
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Federal Reserve's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the US dollar; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
Как считается
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationЧто означают изменения
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
Краткая история
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
Вопросы
What is the United States 6-Month Bill Auction?
The United States 6-Month Bill Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest United States 6-Month Bill Auction?
4.150%, published on 2 November 2026.
When is the next United States 6-Month Bill Auction?
On Monday 9 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.