Business confidence · United Kingdom
United Kingdom CBI Business Optimism Index
The United Kingdom CBI Business Optimism Index asks companies in the United Kingdom how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
- Важность
- High
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Валюта
- GBP · pound sterling
- Центральный банк
- The Bank of England
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за Q4, вышла 2026-10-22; значение: -27. Это выше, чем -36 в прошлый раз.
За последние 7 публикаций значение колебалось от -65 до -19, в среднем -36.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2026 | Q4 | -27 | – | -36 |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Q2 | -65 | – | -19 |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Q1 | -19 | – | -31 |
| 23 Oct 2025 | Q4 | -31 | – | -27 |
| 24 Jul 2025 | Q3 | -27 | – | -33 |
| 24 Apr 2025 | Q2 | -33 | – | -47 |
| 23 Jan 2025 | Q1 | -47 | – | -24 |
Почему это важно
Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.
Как считается
Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.
Что означают изменения
- The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
- A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the pound sterling and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the pound sterling tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.
Вопросы
What is the United Kingdom CBI Business Optimism Index?
The United Kingdom CBI Business Optimism Index asks companies in the United Kingdom how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
What was the latest United Kingdom CBI Business Optimism Index?
-27 for Q4, published on 22 October 2026.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.