Inflation rate (consumer prices) · Russia

Russia Inflation Rate YoY

The Russia Inflation Rate YoY measures how much the prices that households in Russia pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.

Важность
Medium
Опубликовано
Monthly
Следующая публикация
Валюта
RUB · Russian rouble
Центральный банк
The Bank of Russia

Последние данные

Последняя публикация, за SEP, вышла 2026-10-09; значение: 6.3%. Без изменений по сравнению с 6.3% в прошлый раз.

За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 5.3% до 7.7%, в среднем 6.1%.

Nov 2025: 7.7%Dec 2025: 6.6%Jan 2026: 5.6%Feb 2026: 6%Mar 2026: 5.9%Apr 2026: 5.9%May 2026: 5.6%Jun 2026: 5.3%Jul 2026: 6%Aug 2026: 6%Sep 2026: 6.3%Oct 2026: 6.3% Nov 2025Oct 2026
Фактические результаты; короткая линия на столбце отмечает консенсус.
ОпубликованоДляФактКонсенсусПредыдущее
9 Oct 2026SEP6.3%–6.3%
11 Sep 2026AUG6.3%6.3%6%
12 Aug 2026JUL6%–6%
10 Jul 2026JUN6%6%5.3%
10 Jun 2026MAY5.3%5.4%5.6%
15 May 2026APR5.6%5.8%5.9%
10 Apr 2026MAR5.9%5.8%5.9%
13 Mar 2026FEB5.9%5.7%6%
13 Feb 2026JAN6%6.4%5.6%
16 Jan 2026DEC5.6%5.8%6.6%
10 Dec 2025NOV6.6%–7.7%
14 Nov 2025OCT7.7%–8%

Посмотреть в экономическом календаре →

Почему это важно

Inflation is what the Bank of Russia is charged with controlling, so this is one of the most market-moving releases of the month. A figure above expectations makes rate hikes (or a longer wait for cuts) more likely, which usually lifts the Russian rouble and bond yields; a soft figure does the reverse. It also drives wages, pensions and benefits that are linked to prices.

Как считается

Rosstat collects many thousands of prices every month (food, rent, energy, transport, clothing, services) and weights them by how much households spend on each, from household surveys. The index compares the cost of the basket with a base year; the inflation rate is the change from the same month a year earlier.

CPI = Σ (price now ÷ base price) × weight × 100
Inflation (yoy) = CPI ÷ CPI 12 months ago − 1

Что означают изменения

  • Above the central bank's target (usually 2%) and rising: pressure for higher rates.
  • Look at the core rate and services prices to see if the move is broad or driven by energy and food.
  • Base effects: a big jump a year ago drops out of the yearly rate and can make it fall even if prices keep rising.
  • Markets react to the difference from the consensus, often to a single decimal.

Выше ожиданий: A higher figure than expected makes the Bank of Russia more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Russian rouble and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.

Ниже ожиданий: A lower figure than expected gives the Bank of Russia room to cut or hold rates lower: the Russian rouble tends to soften and bond yields to fall.

Краткая история

The United States began publishing a national consumer price index in 1919, the United Kingdom's index goes back to 1914. Inflation targeting, started by New Zealand in 1990, made this release the centre of monetary policy almost everywhere.

Вопросы

What is the Russia Inflation Rate YoY?

The Russia Inflation Rate YoY measures how much the prices that households in Russia pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.

What was the latest Russia Inflation Rate YoY?

6.3% for SEP, published on 9 October 2026.

When is the next Russia Inflation Rate YoY?

On Friday 13 November 2026 at 16:00 UTC.

What is a good inflation rate?

Most central banks, including the Bank of Russia in many cases, aim for about 2% a year: low enough not to erode savings, high enough to avoid deflation.

Why does the Russia Inflation Rate YoY move the Russian rouble?

Because it changes what traders expect the Bank of Russia to do with the key rate, and interest rates decide what holding the currency pays.

Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.