GDP growth (annual) · Hong Kong
Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate YoY Final
The Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate YoY Final measures how much the economy of Hong Kong grew compared with the same period a year earlier.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- HKD · Hong Kong dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Hong Kong Monetary Authority
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за Q2, вышла 2026-08-14; значение: 4.3%. Это соответствует консенсус-прогнозу 4.3%. Это ниже, чем 5.9% в прошлый раз.
Результат в рамках консенсуса обычно вызывает слабую реакцию: он уже заложен в цену.
За последние 7 публикаций значение колебалось от 2.4% до 5.9%, в среднем 3.8%.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | Q2 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% |
| 15 May 2026 | Q1 | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Q4 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Q3 | 3.8% | – | 3.1% |
| 15 Aug 2025 | Q2 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| 16 May 2025 | Q1 | 3.1% | – | 2.5% |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Q4 | 2.4% | – | 1.9% |
Почему это важно
The yearly rate is less noisy than the quarterly change and is the figure most people mean by "economic growth". It shapes the earnings outlook for local companies, tax revenue, and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority's view of how much spare capacity the economy has.
Как считается
the Census and Statistics Department compares real GDP (after inflation) with the same quarter or year before; full-year figures sum the four quarters.
Growth (yoy) = real GDP ÷ real GDP a year ago − 1Что означают изменения
- Growth above the country's trend (about 1–2% for advanced economies, more for emerging ones) tends to raise inflation pressure.
- Annual growth turns only slowly; the quarterly figure shows turning points earlier.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Hong Kong dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Hong Kong dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
Annual national accounts spread after the Second World War under the UN System of National Accounts (first edition 1953).
The Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the US dollar, so the base rate follows the Fed.
Вопросы
What is the Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate YoY Final?
The Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate YoY Final measures how much the economy of Hong Kong grew compared with the same period a year earlier.
What was the latest Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate YoY Final?
4.3% for Q2, published on 14 August 2026 (consensus 4.3%, previous 5.9%).
When is the next Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate YoY Final?
On Friday 13 November 2026 at 08:30 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.