GDP growth (annual) · Hong Kong
Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv
The Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv measures how much the economy of Hong Kong grew compared with the same period a year earlier.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Валюта
- HKD · Hong Kong dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Hong Kong Monetary Authority
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за Q3, вышла 2026-11-03; значение: 5.2%. Это выше консенсус-прогноза 3.7%. Это выше, чем 4.2% в прошлый раз (пересмотрено).
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Hong Kong dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
За последние 8 публикаций значение колебалось от 2.4% до 5.9%, в среднем 4.0%.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | Q3 | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% ® |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Q2 | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% |
| 5 May 2026 | Q1 | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4% ® |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Q4 | 3.8% | – | 3.7% ® |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Q3 | 3.8% | – | 3.1% |
| 31 Jul 2025 | Q2 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% ® |
| 2 May 2025 | Q1 | 3.1% | – | 2.5% ® |
| 3 Feb 2025 | Q4 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% ® |
Почему это важно
The yearly rate is less noisy than the quarterly change and is the figure most people mean by "economic growth". It shapes the earnings outlook for local companies, tax revenue, and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority's view of how much spare capacity the economy has.
Как считается
the Census and Statistics Department compares real GDP (after inflation) with the same quarter or year before; full-year figures sum the four quarters.
Growth (yoy) = real GDP ÷ real GDP a year ago − 1Что означают изменения
- Growth above the country's trend (about 1–2% for advanced economies, more for emerging ones) tends to raise inflation pressure.
- Annual growth turns only slowly; the quarterly figure shows turning points earlier.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Hong Kong dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Hong Kong dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
Annual national accounts spread after the Second World War under the UN System of National Accounts (first edition 1953).
The Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the US dollar, so the base rate follows the Fed.
Вопросы
What is the Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv?
The Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv measures how much the economy of Hong Kong grew compared with the same period a year earlier.
What was the latest Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv?
5.2% for Q3, published on 3 November 2026 (consensus 3.7%, previous 4.2%).
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.