China M2 Money Supply YoY

Последние данные

Последняя публикация, за SEP, вышла 2026-10-14; значение: 7.2%. Это ниже консенсус-прогноза 7.4%. Это ниже, чем 7.5% в прошлый раз.

За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 7.2% до 9.0%, в среднем 8.2%. Показатель снижался три публикации подряд.

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Почему это важно

Money growth was once a direct target of central banks; today it is read as a signal of lending, spending and future inflation, and of how loose or tight the People's Bank of China's policy really is (quantitative easing shows up here first).

Как считается

Banks report their deposits to the central bank, which adds them up by category; the figure is usually shown as the change from a year earlier.

M1 = currency + overnight deposits
M2 = M1 + short-term savings and time deposits
M3 = M2 + repos, money-market funds and short debt

Что означают изменения

• Fast money growth with an economy near full capacity is a warning of inflation to come.
• Shrinking money (as in 2023 in several countries) signals tight credit.
• Markets usually react little; it matters for the medium-term picture.

Краткая история

Milton Friedman's monetarism made money supply the centre of policy in the 1970s and early 1980s ("inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon"). Its link with inflation proved unstable and central banks moved to interest-rate targets.

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