Wages and labour costs · Australia
Australia Wage Price Index YoY
The Australia Wage Price Index YoY measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in Australia.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- AUD · Australian dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Reserve Bank of Australia
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за Q2, вышла 2026-08-19; значение: 3.2%. Это соответствует консенсус-прогнозу 3.2%. Без изменений по сравнению с 3.2% в прошлый раз (пересмотрено).
Результат в рамках консенсуса обычно вызывает слабую реакцию: он уже заложен в цену.
За последние 7 публикаций значение колебалось от 3.2% до 3.4%, в среднем 3.3%. Показатель снижался три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | Q2 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% ® |
| 13 May 2026 | Q1 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Q4 | 3.4% | – | 3.3% ® |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Q3 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| 13 Aug 2025 | Q2 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% |
| 14 May 2025 | Q1 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| 19 Feb 2025 | Q4 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% ® |
Почему это важно
Wages are the largest cost for service businesses, so wage growth well above productivity growth turns into lasting inflation. Central banks watch it to judge whether inflation will return to target; strong wage growth tends to keep the Reserve Bank of Australia hawkish.
Как считается
Pay data come from employer surveys, tax records or collective agreements; the release usually shows the change from a year earlier. Labour cost indexes include employers' social contributions and benefits.
Wage growth (yoy) = average pay ÷ average pay a year ago − 1
Real wage growth ≈ wage growth − inflationЧто означают изменения
- Wage growth of about 3–3.5% is roughly consistent with 2% inflation when productivity grows about 1%.
- Compositional effects (low-paid workers losing jobs) can lift the average misleadingly.
Выше ожиданий: A higher figure than expected makes the Reserve Bank of Australia more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Australian dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Ниже ожиданий: A lower figure than expected gives the Reserve Bank of Australia room to cut or hold rates lower: the Australian dollar tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Краткая история
The link between wages and inflation was described by A. W. Phillips in 1958 (the Phillips curve); it has weakened and strengthened over the decades but remains central to central-bank thinking.
Вопросы
What is the Australia Wage Price Index YoY?
The Australia Wage Price Index YoY measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in Australia.
What was the latest Australia Wage Price Index YoY?
3.2% for Q2, published on 19 August 2026 (consensus 3.2%, previous 3.2%).
When is the next Australia Wage Price Index YoY?
On Wednesday 18 November 2026 at 00:30 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.