Leading and composite indicators · Turkey
Turkey Economic Confidence Index
The Turkey Economic Confidence Index combines several economic series for Turkey into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- Importance
- Low
- Publié
- Monthly
- Prochaine publication
- Devise
- TRY · Turkish lira
- Banque centrale
- The Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye
Derniers chiffres
La dernière publication, pour OCT, est parue le 2026-10-30 et s’est établie à 97.3. C’est moins que 101.3 la fois précédente.
Sur les 12 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de 96.4 à 101.3, avec une moyenne de 99.0.
| Publié | Pour | Réel | Consensus | Précédent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | OCT | 97.3 | – | 101.3 |
| 29 Sep 2026 | SEP | 101.3 | – | 100.6 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | AUG | 100.6 | – | 99.8 |
| 30 Jul 2026 | JUL | 99.8 | – | 98.9 |
| 29 Jun 2026 | JUN | 98.9 | – | 97.2 |
| 25 May 2026 | MAY | 97.2 | – | 96.4 |
| 29 Apr 2026 | APR | 96.4 | – | 97.9 |
| 30 Mar 2026 | MAR | 97.9 | – | 100.7 |
| 26 Feb 2026 | FEB | 100.7 | – | 99.4 |
| 29 Jan 2026 | JAN | 99.4 | – | 99.4 |
| 30 Dec 2025 | DEC | 99.5 | – | 99.5 |
| 27 Nov 2025 | NOV | 99.5 | – | 98.2 |
Pourquoi c’est important
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
Mode de calcul
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
Ce que signifient les variations
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
Supérieur aux attentes : A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Turkish lira and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Inférieur aux attentes : A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Turkish lira tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Un bref historique
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
Questions
What is the Turkey Economic Confidence Index?
The Turkey Economic Confidence Index combines several economic series for Turkey into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest Turkey Economic Confidence Index?
97.3 for OCT, published on 30 October 2026.
When is the next Turkey Economic Confidence Index?
On Friday 27 November 2026 at 07:00 UTC.
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