Elections · Poland

Poland Presidential Election - 2nd round

The Poland Presidential Election - 2nd round decides who governs Poland or holds key offices.

Importance
Low
Devise
PLN · Polish zloty
Banque centrale
The National Bank of Poland
Influence
EURPLN · USDPLN

Derniers chiffres

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Pourquoi c’est important

Elections can change fiscal policy, trade policy and the independence of institutions, so markets price the outcome in advance. Surprises move the Polish zloty, local stocks and government bonds, sometimes sharply; uncertainty before the vote often raises option prices.

Mode de calcul

There is no figure: the outcome is the result of the vote, often over one or two rounds.

Ce que signifient les variations

  • Compare the result with polls and betting markets: the surprise drives the reaction.
  • Coalition talks after the vote can keep uncertainty high for weeks.

Un bref historique

Election risk became a regular part of market analysis after shocks such as the UK's Brexit referendum and the US presidential election, both in 2016.

Questions

What is the Poland Presidential Election - 2nd round?

The Poland Presidential Election - 2nd round decides who governs Poland or holds key offices.

Contenu éducatif uniquement, pas un conseil en investissement. Les chiffres sont les résultats publiés tels qu’enregistrés par notre calendrier ; les réactions de marché décrites sont typiques, non garanties.