GDP growth (quarterly) · Poland
Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel
The Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel measures how much the economy of Poland, the total value of goods and services it produces after inflation, grew compared with the previous quarter.
- Importance
- Medium
- Publié
- Quarterly
- Prochaine publication
- Devise
- PLN · Polish zloty
- Banque centrale
- The National Bank of Poland
Derniers chiffres
La dernière publication, pour Q2, est parue le 2026-08-13 et s’est établie à 0.9%. C’est en dessous du consensus de 1%. C’est plus que 0.6% la fois précédente.
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Polish zloty tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Sur les 7 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de 0.5% à 1.3%, avec une moyenne de 0.9%.
| Publié | Pour | Réel | Consensus | Précédent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | Q2 | 0.9% | 1% | 0.6% |
| 14 May 2026 | Q1 | 0.5% | – | 1% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Q4 | 1% | – | 0.9% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Q3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 13 Aug 2025 | Q2 | 0.8% | – | 0.7% |
| 15 May 2025 | Q1 | 0.7% | – | 1.4% ® |
| 13 Feb 2025 | Q4 | 1.3% | – | -0.1% |
Pourquoi c’est important
GDP is the broadest measure of economic health. Two quarters of contraction are the common rule of thumb for a recession. Stronger growth supports corporate earnings, jobs and the Polish zloty, and can push the National Bank of Poland towards higher rates; a contraction raises the odds of cuts.
Mode de calcul
Statistics Poland (GUS) adds up spending in the economy: consumption + investment + government spending + exports − imports, measured at constant prices (real GDP) and adjusted for seasonal patterns. The first (advance or flash) estimate is revised as more data arrive. The US annualises the quarterly change.
GDP = C + I + G + (X − M)
Growth (qoq) = real GDP ÷ real GDP last quarter − 1
Annualised = (1 + qoq)⁴ − 1Ce que signifient les variations
- Compare with the consensus and with the previous quarter; the first estimate gets the biggest reaction.
- Look at the mix: growth from consumption and investment is healthier than growth from inventories.
- An annualised US figure of 2% is close to its long-run trend; 0.5% quarter on quarter is similar in European terms.
Supérieur aux attentes : A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Polish zloty and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Inférieur aux attentes : A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Polish zloty tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Un bref historique
Simon Kuznets built the first national income accounts for the US Congress in 1934. GDP replaced GNP as the US headline measure in 1991; international standards are set in the UN System of National Accounts.
Questions
What is the Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel?
The Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel measures how much the economy of Poland, the total value of goods and services it produces after inflation, grew compared with the previous quarter.
What was the latest Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel?
0.9% for Q2, published on 13 August 2026 (consensus 1%, previous 0.6%).
When is the next Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel?
On Friday 13 November 2026 at 08:30 UTC.
What is the difference between quarterly and annual GDP growth?
Quarterly growth compares with the previous quarter (the latest momentum); annual growth compares with the same quarter a year earlier.
Contenu éducatif uniquement, pas un conseil en investissement. Les chiffres sont les résultats publiés tels qu’enregistrés par notre calendrier ; les réactions de marché décrites sont typiques, non garanties.