Core inflation · Mexico

Mexico Core Inflation Rate MoM

The Mexico Core Inflation Rate MoM measures the rise in consumer prices in Mexico without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).

Importance
Low
Publié
Monthly
Prochaine publication
Devise
MXN · Mexican peso
Banque centrale
The Banco de México (Banxico)
Influence
USDMXN

Derniers chiffres

La dernière publication, pour SEP, est parue le 2026-10-08 et s’est établie à 0.2%. C’est en dessous du consensus de 0.24%. C’est plus que 0.16% la fois précédente.

A lower figure than expected gives the Banco de México (Banxico) room to cut or hold rates lower: the Mexican peso tends to soften and bond yields to fall.

Sur les 12 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de 0.2% à 0.6%, avec une moyenne de 0.3%.

Nov 2025: 0.29%Dec 2025: 0.19%Jan 2026: 0.41%Feb 2026: 0.6%Mar 2026: 0.46%Apr 2026: 0.38%May 2026: 0.31%Jun 2026: 0.22%Jul 2026: 0.24%Aug 2026: 0.23%Sep 2026: 0.16%Oct 2026: 0.2% Nov 2025Oct 2026
Résultats réels ; le petit trait sur une barre indique le consensus.
PubliéPourRéelConsensusPrécédent
8 Oct 2026SEP0.2%0.24%0.16%
9 Sep 2026AUG0.16%0.20%0.23%
7 Aug 2026JUL0.23%0.22%0.24%
9 Jul 2026JUN0.24%0.31%0.22%
9 Jun 2026MAY0.22%0.24%0.31%
7 May 2026APR0.31%0.31%0.38%
9 Apr 2026MAR0.38%0.40%0.46%
9 Mar 2026FEB0.46%0.47%0.6%
9 Feb 2026JAN0.6%0.59%0.41%
8 Jan 2026DEC0.41%0.42%0.19%
9 Dec 2025NOV0.19%0.10%0.29%
7 Nov 2025OCT0.29%0.28%0.33%

Voir dans le calendrier économique →

Pourquoi c’est important

Food and energy prices jump with harvests and oil, then fall back. The core rate shows the underlying trend that the Banco de México (Banxico) can actually influence, so it often moves markets more than the headline. Services inflation, driven by wages, is the stickiest part.

Mode de calcul

INEGI takes the consumer price index basket, removes the excluded items and re-weights the rest; the change is measured month on month and against the same month a year earlier.

Core inflation (yoy) = core index ÷ core index 12 months ago − 1

Ce que signifient les variations

  • A core rate falling towards the target lets the Banco de México (Banxico) ease; a stubborn core keeps rates high.
  • Monthly core changes of 0.2% compound to about 2.4% a year; 0.3% to about 3.7%.
  • Markets compare the figure with the consensus to one decimal; a 0.1-point surprise moves currencies.

Supérieur aux attentes : A higher figure than expected makes the Banco de México (Banxico) more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Mexican peso and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.

Inférieur aux attentes : A lower figure than expected gives the Banco de México (Banxico) room to cut or hold rates lower: the Mexican peso tends to soften and bond yields to fall.

Un bref historique

Economists Robert Gordon and others popularised excluding food and energy in the 1970s, when oil shocks made the headline rate misleading; most central banks now publish or watch a core measure.

Questions

What is the Mexico Core Inflation Rate MoM?

The Mexico Core Inflation Rate MoM measures the rise in consumer prices in Mexico without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).

What was the latest Mexico Core Inflation Rate MoM?

0.2% for SEP, published on 8 October 2026 (consensus 0.24%, previous 0.16%).

When is the next Mexico Core Inflation Rate MoM?

On Monday 9 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC.

Contenu éducatif uniquement, pas un conseil en investissement. Les chiffres sont les résultats publiés tels qu’enregistrés par notre calendrier ; les réactions de marché décrites sont typiques, non garanties.