Core inflation · Indonesia
Indonesia Core Inflation Rate YoY
The Indonesia Core Inflation Rate YoY measures the rise in consumer prices in Indonesia without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).
- Importance
- Medium
- Publié
- Monthly
- Prochaine publication
- Devise
- IDR · Indonesian rupiah
- Banque centrale
- Bank Indonesia
Derniers chiffres
La dernière publication, pour OCT, est parue le 2026-11-02 et s’est établie à 2.56%. C’est en dessous du consensus de 2.75%. C’est moins que 2.84% la fois précédente.
A lower figure than expected gives Bank Indonesia room to cut or hold rates lower: the Indonesian rupiah tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Sur les 12 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de 2.36% à 2.92%, avec une moyenne de 2.60%. Elle a baissé trois publications d’affilée.
| Publié | Pour | Réel | Consensus | Précédent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | OCT | 2.56% | 2.75% | 2.84% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | SEP | 2.84% | 3% | 2.92% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | AUG | 2.92% | 2.8% | 2.76% |
| 3 Aug 2026 | JUL | 2.76% | 2.8% | 2.76% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | JUN | 2.76% | 2.6% | 2.59% |
| 2 Jun 2026 | MAY | 2.59% | 2.52% | 2.44% |
| 4 May 2026 | APR | 2.44% | – | 2.52% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | MAR | 2.52% | 2.63% | 2.63% |
| 2 Mar 2026 | FEB | 2.63% | – | 2.45% |
| 2 Feb 2026 | JAN | 2.45% | 2.37% | 2.38% |
| 5 Jan 2026 | DEC | 2.38% | 2.4% | 2.36% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | NOV | 2.36% | – | 2.36% |
Pourquoi c’est important
Food and energy prices jump with harvests and oil, then fall back. The core rate shows the underlying trend that Bank Indonesia can actually influence, so it often moves markets more than the headline. Services inflation, driven by wages, is the stickiest part.
Mode de calcul
Statistics Indonesia (BPS) takes the consumer price index basket, removes the excluded items and re-weights the rest; the change is measured month on month and against the same month a year earlier.
Core inflation (yoy) = core index ÷ core index 12 months ago − 1Ce que signifient les variations
- A core rate falling towards the target lets Bank Indonesia ease; a stubborn core keeps rates high.
- Monthly core changes of 0.2% compound to about 2.4% a year; 0.3% to about 3.7%.
- Markets compare the figure with the consensus to one decimal; a 0.1-point surprise moves currencies.
Supérieur aux attentes : A higher figure than expected makes Bank Indonesia more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Indonesian rupiah and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Inférieur aux attentes : A lower figure than expected gives Bank Indonesia room to cut or hold rates lower: the Indonesian rupiah tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Un bref historique
Economists Robert Gordon and others popularised excluding food and energy in the 1970s, when oil shocks made the headline rate misleading; most central banks now publish or watch a core measure.
Questions
What is the Indonesia Core Inflation Rate YoY?
The Indonesia Core Inflation Rate YoY measures the rise in consumer prices in Indonesia without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).
What was the latest Indonesia Core Inflation Rate YoY?
2.56% for OCT, published on 2 November 2026 (consensus 2.75%, previous 2.84%).
When is the next Indonesia Core Inflation Rate YoY?
On Tuesday 1 December 2026 at 04:00 UTC.
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