Government bond yield · Canada
Canada 10-Year Bond Auction
The Canada 10-Year Bond Auction is the yield on Canada's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- Importance
- Medium
- Publié
- Monthly
- Prochaine publication
- Devise
- CAD · Canadian dollar
- Banque centrale
- The Bank of Canada
Derniers chiffres
La dernière publication est parue le 2026-10-29 et s’est établie à 3.887%. C’est moins que 3.966% la fois précédente.
Sur les 12 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de 3.233% à 3.966%, avec une moyenne de 3.577%.
| Publié | Pour | Réel | Consensus | Précédent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2026 | – | 3.887% | – | 3.966% |
| 23 Sep 2026 | – | 3.966% | – | 3.707% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | – | 3.707% | – | 3.653% |
| 6 Aug 2026 | – | 3.653% | – | 3.622% |
| 22 Jun 2026 | – | 3.453% | – | 3.484% |
| 11 Jun 2026 | – | 3.484% | – | 3.491% |
| 27 May 2026 | – | 3.491% | – | 3.506% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | – | 3.506% | – | 3.530% |
| 25 Mar 2026 | – | 3.530% | – | 3.551% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | – | 3.551% | – | 3.233% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | – | 3.233% | – | 3.463% |
| 29 Jan 2026 | – | 3.463% | – | 3.447% |
Pourquoi c’est important
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Bank of Canada's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the Canadian dollar; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
Mode de calcul
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationCe que signifient les variations
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
Un bref historique
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
Questions
What is the Canada 10-Year Bond Auction?
The Canada 10-Year Bond Auction is the yield on Canada's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest Canada 10-Year Bond Auction?
3.887%, published on 29 October 2026.
When is the next Canada 10-Year Bond Auction?
On Monday 9 November 2026 at 17:00 UTC.
Contenu éducatif uniquement, pas un conseil en investissement. Les chiffres sont les résultats publiés tels qu’enregistrés par notre calendrier ; les réactions de marché décrites sont typiques, non garanties.