PCE and GDP price indexes · United States
United States GDP Price Index QoQ
The United States GDP Price Index QoQ measures the prices of everything households (PCE) or the whole economy (deflator) buy. In the United States it is one of the main measures of inflation.
- Wichtigkeit
- Medium
- Währung
- USD · US dollar
- Zentralbank
- The Federal Reserve
Neueste Zahlen
Die letzte Veröffentlichung, für Q3, erschien am 2025-12-23 und lag bei 3.7%. Das liegt über dem Konsens von 2.7%. Das ist mehr als 2.1% beim letzten Mal.
A higher figure than expected makes the Federal Reserve more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the US dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
| Veröffentlicht | Für | Ist | Konsens | Vorher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | Q3 | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
Warum es wichtig ist
In the United States the Federal Reserve's 2% target is defined on the PCE price index, and the core measure (without food and energy) is the one policymakers quote most. Because CPI comes out first, markets usually know roughly what PCE will show; surprises come from the parts measured differently, such as health care.
So wird gerechnet
PCE prices are built from the same price data as CPI and producer prices, but weighted by what households actually spend (including what is paid on their behalf, like employer health insurance), and the weights change every period. The GDP deflator divides nominal GDP by real GDP.
Deflator = nominal GDP ÷ real GDP × 100
PCE inflation = PCE index ÷ PCE index a year ago − 1Was Veränderungen bedeuten
- Core PCE above 2% and rising keeps the Fed cautious about cutting rates.
- The monthly change annualised (× 12) shows the latest pace; three-month averages smooth the noise.
Höher als erwartet: A higher figure than expected makes the Federal Reserve more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the US dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Niedriger als erwartet: A lower figure than expected gives the Federal Reserve room to cut or hold rates lower: the US dollar tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Eine kurze Geschichte
The Fed switched its preferred inflation measure from CPI to PCE in 2000 and wrote the 2% PCE target into its strategy in 2012.
Fragen
What is the United States GDP Price Index QoQ?
The United States GDP Price Index QoQ measures the prices of everything households (PCE) or the whole economy (deflator) buy. In the United States it is one of the main measures of inflation.
What was the latest United States GDP Price Index QoQ?
3.7% for Q3, published on 23 December 2025 (consensus 2.7%, previous 2.1%).
Nur Bildungsinhalte, keine Anlageberatung. Die Zahlen sind die veröffentlichten Ergebnisse, wie sie unser Kalender erfasst hat; die beschriebenen Marktreaktionen sind typisch, nicht garantiert.