Inflation expectations · Turkey
Turkey End Year CPI Forecast
The Turkey End Year CPI Forecast measures the inflation that households, businesses or professional forecasters in Turkey expect over the coming months or years.
- Wichtigkeit
- Low
- Nächste Veröffentlichung
- Währung
- TRY · Turkish lira
- Zentralbank
- The Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye
Neueste Zahlen
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Warum es wichtig ist
Expectations feed into wage demands and price setting, so inflation can become self-fulfilling. Central banks watch them closely: well-anchored expectations near the target let the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye look through temporary price jumps.
So wird gerechnet
Survey respondents give their own estimate of future price growth; the release reports the median or average. Market-based versions use the gap between ordinary and inflation-linked bond yields.
Was Veränderungen bedeuten
- Rising long-term expectations are a red flag for central banks.
- Short-term expectations follow petrol and food prices closely.
Höher als erwartet: A higher figure than expected makes the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Turkish lira and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Niedriger als erwartet: A lower figure than expected gives the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye room to cut or hold rates lower: the Turkish lira tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Eine kurze Geschichte
Expectations became central to economics with the work of Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps in the late 1960s; the University of Michigan has asked US households about the prices they expect since its first surveys after the Second World War, and for a numeric inflation rate since the late 1970s.
Fragen
What is the Turkey End Year CPI Forecast?
The Turkey End Year CPI Forecast measures the inflation that households, businesses or professional forecasters in Turkey expect over the coming months or years.
When is the next Turkey End Year CPI Forecast?
On Friday 13 November 2026 at 07:00 UTC.
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