Inflation rate (consumer prices) · Poland
Poland Inflation Rate YoY
The Poland Inflation Rate YoY measures how much the prices that households in Poland pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
- Wichtigkeit
- Medium
- Veröffentlicht
- Monthly
- Währung
- PLN · Polish zloty
- Zentralbank
- The National Bank of Poland
Neueste Zahlen
Die letzte Veröffentlichung, für FEB, erschien am 2026-03-13 und lag bei 2.1%. Das entspricht dem Konsens von 2.1%. Das ist unverändert gegenüber 2.1% beim letzten Mal.
Ein Ergebnis im Rahmen des Konsenses löst meist wenig Reaktion aus: Es war bereits eingepreist.
In den letzten 4 Veröffentlichungen lag der Wert zwischen 2.1% und 5.3%, im Schnitt 3.6%. Der Wert ist drei Veröffentlichungen in Folge gefallen.
| Veröffentlicht | Für | Ist | Konsens | Vorher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2026 | FEB | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| 13 Feb 2026 | JAN | 2.2% | 2% | 2.4% |
| 14 Mar 2025 | FEB | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% ® |
| 14 Feb 2025 | JAN | 5.3% | – | 4.7% |
Warum es wichtig ist
Inflation is what the National Bank of Poland is charged with controlling, so this is one of the most market-moving releases of the month. A figure above expectations makes rate hikes (or a longer wait for cuts) more likely, which usually lifts the Polish zloty and bond yields; a soft figure does the reverse. It also drives wages, pensions and benefits that are linked to prices.
So wird gerechnet
Statistics Poland (GUS) collects many thousands of prices every month (food, rent, energy, transport, clothing, services) and weights them by how much households spend on each, from household surveys. The index compares the cost of the basket with a base year; the inflation rate is the change from the same month a year earlier.
CPI = Σ (price now ÷ base price) × weight × 100
Inflation (yoy) = CPI ÷ CPI 12 months ago − 1Was Veränderungen bedeuten
- Above the central bank's target (usually 2%) and rising: pressure for higher rates.
- Look at the core rate and services prices to see if the move is broad or driven by energy and food.
- Base effects: a big jump a year ago drops out of the yearly rate and can make it fall even if prices keep rising.
- Markets react to the difference from the consensus, often to a single decimal.
Höher als erwartet: A higher figure than expected makes the National Bank of Poland more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Polish zloty and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Niedriger als erwartet: A lower figure than expected gives the National Bank of Poland room to cut or hold rates lower: the Polish zloty tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Eine kurze Geschichte
The United States began publishing a national consumer price index in 1919, the United Kingdom's index goes back to 1914. Inflation targeting, started by New Zealand in 1990, made this release the centre of monetary policy almost everywhere.
Fragen
What is the Poland Inflation Rate YoY?
The Poland Inflation Rate YoY measures how much the prices that households in Poland pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
What was the latest Poland Inflation Rate YoY?
2.1% for FEB, published on 13 March 2026 (consensus 2.1%, previous 2.1%).
What is a good inflation rate?
Most central banks, including the National Bank of Poland in many cases, aim for about 2% a year: low enough not to erode savings, high enough to avoid deflation.
Why does the Poland Inflation Rate YoY move the Polish zloty?
Because it changes what traders expect the National Bank of Poland to do with the reference rate, and interest rates decide what holding the currency pays.
Nur Bildungsinhalte, keine Anlageberatung. Die Zahlen sind die veröffentlichten Ergebnisse, wie sie unser Kalender erfasst hat; die beschriebenen Marktreaktionen sind typisch, nicht garantiert.