Inflation rate (consumer prices) · Poland
Poland Inflation Rate YoY
The Poland Inflation Rate YoY measures how much the prices that households in Poland pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
- الأهمية
- Medium
- صدر
- Monthly
- العملة
- PLN · Polish zloty
- البنك المركزي
- The National Bank of Poland
أحدث الأرقام
صدر آخر إصدار، عن FEB، في 2026-03-13 وجاء عند 2.1%. هذا مطابق للإجماع البالغ 2.1%. دون تغيير عن 2.1% في المرة السابقة.
النتيجة المطابقة للتوقعات تُحدث عادةً ردة فعل ضعيفة: فقد كانت مُسعَّرة مسبقًا.
خلال آخر 4 إصدارات تراوح بين 2.1% و5.3%، بمتوسط 3.6%. ظل يتراجع لثلاثة إصدارات متتالية.
| صدر | المدة | الفعلي | التوقعات | السابق |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2026 | FEB | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| 13 Feb 2026 | JAN | 2.2% | 2% | 2.4% |
| 14 Mar 2025 | FEB | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% ® |
| 14 Feb 2025 | JAN | 5.3% | – | 4.7% |
لماذا يهم
Inflation is what the National Bank of Poland is charged with controlling, so this is one of the most market-moving releases of the month. A figure above expectations makes rate hikes (or a longer wait for cuts) more likely, which usually lifts the Polish zloty and bond yields; a soft figure does the reverse. It also drives wages, pensions and benefits that are linked to prices.
طريقة الحساب
Statistics Poland (GUS) collects many thousands of prices every month (food, rent, energy, transport, clothing, services) and weights them by how much households spend on each, from household surveys. The index compares the cost of the basket with a base year; the inflation rate is the change from the same month a year earlier.
CPI = Σ (price now ÷ base price) × weight × 100
Inflation (yoy) = CPI ÷ CPI 12 months ago − 1ما تعنيه التغيرات
- Above the central bank's target (usually 2%) and rising: pressure for higher rates.
- Look at the core rate and services prices to see if the move is broad or driven by energy and food.
- Base effects: a big jump a year ago drops out of the yearly rate and can make it fall even if prices keep rising.
- Markets react to the difference from the consensus, often to a single decimal.
أعلى من المتوقع: A higher figure than expected makes the National Bank of Poland more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Polish zloty and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
أقل من المتوقع: A lower figure than expected gives the National Bank of Poland room to cut or hold rates lower: the Polish zloty tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
لمحة تاريخية قصيرة
The United States began publishing a national consumer price index in 1919, the United Kingdom's index goes back to 1914. Inflation targeting, started by New Zealand in 1990, made this release the centre of monetary policy almost everywhere.
الأسئلة
What is the Poland Inflation Rate YoY?
The Poland Inflation Rate YoY measures how much the prices that households in Poland pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
What was the latest Poland Inflation Rate YoY?
2.1% for FEB, published on 13 March 2026 (consensus 2.1%, previous 2.1%).
What is a good inflation rate?
Most central banks, including the National Bank of Poland in many cases, aim for about 2% a year: low enough not to erode savings, high enough to avoid deflation.
Why does the Poland Inflation Rate YoY move the Polish zloty?
Because it changes what traders expect the National Bank of Poland to do with the reference rate, and interest rates decide what holding the currency pays.
محتوى تعليمي فقط، وليس نصيحة استثمارية. الأرقام هي النتائج المنشورة كما سجّلتها مفكرتنا؛ وردود فعل السوق الموصوفة نموذجية وليست مضمونة.