Business confidence · Japan
Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook
The Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook asks companies in Japan how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
- الأهمية
- Medium
- صدر
- Quarterly
- الإصدار التالي
- العملة
- JPY · Japanese yen
- البنك المركزي
- The Bank of Japan
أحدث الأرقام
صدر آخر إصدار، عن Q3، في 2026-09-30 وجاء عند 21. هذا أدنى من الإجماع البالغ 22. هذا أعلى من 17 في المرة السابقة.
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
خلال آخر 7 إصدارات تراوح بين 12 و21، بمتوسط 15. ظل يرتفع لثلاثة إصدارات متتالية.
| صدر | المدة | الفعلي | التوقعات | السابق |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | Q3 | 21 | 22 | 17 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Q2 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Q1 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Q4 | 15 | 13 | 12 |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Q3 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Q2 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 31 Mar 2025 | Q1 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
لماذا يهم
Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.
طريقة الحساب
Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.
ما تعنيه التغيرات
- The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
- A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.
أعلى من المتوقع: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
أقل من المتوقع: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
لمحة تاريخية قصيرة
Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.
الأسئلة
What is the Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook?
The Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook asks companies in Japan how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
What was the latest Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook?
21 for Q3, published on 30 September 2026 (consensus 22, previous 17).
When is the next Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook?
On Sunday 13 December 2026 at 23:50 UTC.
محتوى تعليمي فقط، وليس نصيحة استثمارية. الأرقام هي النتائج المنشورة كما سجّلتها مفكرتنا؛ وردود فعل السوق الموصوفة نموذجية وليست مضمونة.