Balance of trade · China
China Exports YoY
The China Exports YoY shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that China sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
- الأهمية
- Medium
- صدر
- Monthly
- الإصدار التالي
- العملة
- CNH · Chinese yuan (renminbi)
- البنك المركزي
- The People's Bank of China
أحدث الأرقام
صدر آخر إصدار، عن SEP، في 2026-10-14 وجاء عند 36.3%. هذا أعلى من الإجماع البالغ 25.5%. هذا أعلى من 25% في المرة السابقة.
A larger surplus (or smaller deficit) than expected tends to support the Chinese yuan (renminbi).
خلال آخر 12 إصدارات تراوح بين -1.1% و36.3%، بمتوسط 15.8%. ظل يرتفع لثلاثة إصدارات متتالية.
| صدر | المدة | الفعلي | التوقعات | السابق |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | SEP | 36.3% | 25.5% | 25% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | AUG | 25% | 25% | 23.9% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | JUL | 23.9% | 22.2% | 27% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | JUN | 27% | 18.2% | 19.4% |
| 9 Jun 2026 | MAY | 19.4% | 15% | 14.1% |
| 9 May 2026 | APR | 14.1% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| 14 Apr 2026 | MAR | 2.5% | 8.3% | 39.6% |
| 10 Mar 2026 | JAN-FEB | 21.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
| 14 Jan 2026 | DEC | 6.6% | 3% | 5.9% |
| 8 Dec 2025 | NOV | 5.9% | 3.8% | -1.1% |
| 7 Nov 2025 | OCT | -1.1% | 3% | 8.3% |
| 13 Oct 2025 | SEP | 8.3% | 6% | 4.4% |
لماذا يهم
Exports are a big part of demand for open economies (Germany, China, Japan, Korea, the Netherlands). A larger surplus means more foreign demand for the Chinese yuan (renminbi); strong imports signal domestic demand. China's figures are read as a gauge of world demand.
طريقة الحساب
Customs records the value of goods crossing the border; services come from surveys. The balance is exports minus imports, usually seasonally adjusted.
Trade balance = exports − importsما تعنيه التغيرات
- Look at exports and imports separately: a wider surplus from collapsing imports is a sign of weak domestic demand, not strength.
- Exchange-rate moves take months to affect trade volumes (the J-curve).
أعلى من المتوقع: A larger surplus (or smaller deficit) than expected tends to support the Chinese yuan (renminbi).
أقل من المتوقع: A smaller surplus (or larger deficit) than expected tends to weigh on the Chinese yuan (renminbi).
لمحة تاريخية قصيرة
Trade balances were the obsession of mercantilism in the 16th–18th centuries; David Hume's price-specie flow mechanism (1752) explained why surpluses tend to correct themselves.
الأسئلة
What is the China Exports YoY?
The China Exports YoY shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that China sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
What was the latest China Exports YoY?
36.3% for SEP, published on 14 October 2026 (consensus 25.5%, previous 25%).
When is the next China Exports YoY?
On Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 03:00 UTC.
محتوى تعليمي فقط، وليس نصيحة استثمارية. الأرقام هي النتائج المنشورة كما سجّلتها مفكرتنا؛ وردود فعل السوق الموصوفة نموذجية وليست مضمونة.