GDP growth (annual) · Romania
Romania GDP Growth Rate YoY 2nd Est
The Romania GDP Growth Rate YoY 2nd Est measures how much the economy of Romania grew compared with the same period a year earlier.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- RON · Romanian leu
- Центральный банк
- The National Bank of Romania
- Влияет на
- MICRON
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за Q2, вышла 2026-09-07; значение: -0.4%. Это соответствует консенсус-прогнозу -0.4%. Это выше, чем -1.2% в прошлый раз.
Результат в рамках консенсуса обычно вызывает слабую реакцию: он уже заложен в цену.
За последние 7 публикаций значение колебалось от -1.2% до 1.6%, в среднем 0.2%.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Sep 2026 | Q2 | -0.4% | -0.4% | -1.2% |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Q1 | -1.2% | -1.7% | 0.2% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | Q4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.7% |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Q3 | 1.6% | – | 0.3% |
| 5 Sep 2025 | Q2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 6 Jun 2025 | Q1 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 7 Mar 2025 | Q4 | 0.7% | – | 1.2% |
Почему это важно
The yearly rate is less noisy than the quarterly change and is the figure most people mean by "economic growth". It shapes the earnings outlook for local companies, tax revenue, and the National Bank of Romania's view of how much spare capacity the economy has.
Как считается
the National Institute of Statistics compares real GDP (after inflation) with the same quarter or year before; full-year figures sum the four quarters.
Growth (yoy) = real GDP ÷ real GDP a year ago − 1Что означают изменения
- Growth above the country's trend (about 1–2% for advanced economies, more for emerging ones) tends to raise inflation pressure.
- Annual growth turns only slowly; the quarterly figure shows turning points earlier.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Romanian leu and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Romanian leu tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
Annual national accounts spread after the Second World War under the UN System of National Accounts (first edition 1953).
Вопросы
What is the Romania GDP Growth Rate YoY 2nd Est?
The Romania GDP Growth Rate YoY 2nd Est measures how much the economy of Romania grew compared with the same period a year earlier.
What was the latest Romania GDP Growth Rate YoY 2nd Est?
-0.4% for Q2, published on 7 September 2026 (consensus -0.4%, previous -1.2%).
When is the next Romania GDP Growth Rate YoY 2nd Est?
On Monday 7 December 2026 at 07:00 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.