GDP growth (annual) · Italy
Italy GDP Growth Rate YoY Final
The Italy GDP Growth Rate YoY Final measures how much the economy of Italy grew compared with the same period a year earlier.
- Важность
- High
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- EUR · euro
- Центральный банк
- The European Central Bank (with the Banca d'Italia)
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за Q2, вышла 2026-09-01; значение: 1%. Это соответствует консенсус-прогнозу 1%. Это выше, чем 0.8% в прошлый раз.
Результат в рамках консенсуса обычно вызывает слабую реакцию: он уже заложен в цену.
За последние 7 публикаций значение колебалось от 0.4% до 1%, в среднем 0.7%.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2026 | Q2 | 1% | 1% | 0.8% |
| 29 May 2026 | Q1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Q4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Q3 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 29 Aug 2025 | Q2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| 30 May 2025 | Q1 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| 5 Mar 2025 | Q4 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
Почему это важно
The yearly rate is less noisy than the quarterly change and is the figure most people mean by "economic growth". It shapes the earnings outlook for local companies, tax revenue, and the European Central Bank (with the Banca d'Italia)'s view of how much spare capacity the economy has.
Как считается
Istat compares real GDP (after inflation) with the same quarter or year before; full-year figures sum the four quarters.
Growth (yoy) = real GDP ÷ real GDP a year ago − 1Что означают изменения
- Growth above the country's trend (about 1–2% for advanced economies, more for emerging ones) tends to raise inflation pressure.
- Annual growth turns only slowly; the quarterly figure shows turning points earlier.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the euro and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the euro tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
Annual national accounts spread after the Second World War under the UN System of National Accounts (first edition 1953).
Вопросы
What is the Italy GDP Growth Rate YoY Final?
The Italy GDP Growth Rate YoY Final measures how much the economy of Italy grew compared with the same period a year earlier.
What was the latest Italy GDP Growth Rate YoY Final?
1% for Q2, published on 1 September 2026 (consensus 1%, previous 0.8%).
When is the next Italy GDP Growth Rate YoY Final?
On Tuesday 1 December 2026 at 09:00 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.