Government bond yield · Canada
Canada 30-Year Bond Auction
The Canada 30-Year Bond Auction is the yield on Canada's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- Важность
- Low
- Опубликовано
- About every six weeks
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- CAD · Canadian dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Bank of Canada
Последние данные
Последняя публикация вышла 2026-10-14; значение: 4.249%. Это выше, чем 4.201% в прошлый раз.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 3.609% до 4.249%, в среднем 3.864%. Показатель рос три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | – | 4.249% | – | 4.201% |
| 17 Sep 2026 | – | 4.201% | – | 3.968% |
| 16 Jul 2026 | – | 3.968% | – | 3.783% |
| 18 Jun 2026 | – | 3.783% | – | 3.898% |
| 15 Apr 2026 | – | 3.898% | – | 3.793% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | – | 3.793% | – | 3.881% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | – | 3.881% | – | 3.683% |
| 20 Nov 2025 | – | 3.683% | – | 3.609% |
| 15 Oct 2025 | – | 3.609% | – | 3.689% |
| 25 Sep 2025 | – | 3.689% | – | 3.911% |
| 16 Jul 2025 | – | 3.911% | – | 3.698% |
| 21 May 2025 | – | 3.698% | – | 3.545% |
Почему это важно
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Bank of Canada's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the Canadian dollar; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
Как считается
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationЧто означают изменения
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
Краткая история
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
Вопросы
What is the Canada 30-Year Bond Auction?
The Canada 30-Year Bond Auction is the yield on Canada's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest Canada 30-Year Bond Auction?
4.249%, published on 14 October 2026.
When is the next Canada 30-Year Bond Auction?
On Thursday 17 December 2026 at 17:00 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.