Harmonic and chart patterns

Head and shoulders

Three peaks with the middle one highest; a break of the "neckline" through the lows between them signals a reversal.

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L’idée en termes simples

The left shoulder and head are made in an uptrend. The right shoulder fails to reach the head's high: buyers are weaker. When the price breaks the neckline, the uptrend has turned. Upside down, it is a bottom pattern.

Mode de calcul

Click the start, left shoulder, first low, head, second low, right shoulder and the end. The tool draws the neckline through the two lows, then the targets (61.8% and 100% of the head's height measured from the neckline) and a stop beyond the right shoulder.

Target after the break ≈ neckline − (head − neckline)

Comment l’utiliser

  • Sell (or exit longs) on a close below the neckline; place a stop above the right shoulder.
  • Measure the target as the head's height projected from the neckline.

Tirer des conclusions

  • Volume often falls on the right shoulder and rises on the break.

Exemple

Head at 1.1200, neckline at 1.1000: after the break, the target is about 1.0800.

Les prix des exemples sont donnés à titre d’illustration.

Points de vigilance

  • Many patterns never break the neckline; wait for the break.

Un peu d’histoire

Described by Richard Schabacker in the 1930s and by Edwards and Magee in "Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" (1948).

Contenu éducatif uniquement. Aucun indicateur ni aucune figure ne prédit l’avenir, et rien ici ne constitue un conseil en investissement.