Business confidence · United States
United States NFIB Business Optimism Index
The United States NFIB Business Optimism Index asks companies in the United States how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
- Importancia
- Medium
- Publicado
- Monthly
- Próxima publicación
- Divisa
- USD · US dollar
- Banco central
- The Federal Reserve
Últimas cifras
El último dato, de SEP, se publicó el 2026-10-13 y fue 97.9. Está por debajo del consenso de 98. Es menos que 98.7 la vez anterior.
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
En las últimas 12 publicaciones osciló entre 95.3 y 99.8, con una media de 98.0. Ha bajado tres publicaciones seguidas.
| Publicado | Para | Real | Consenso | Anterior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | SEP | 97.9 | 98 | 98.7 |
| 8 Sep 2026 | AUG | 98.7 | 99.3 | 99.8 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | JUL | 99.8 | 97.5 | 97.4 |
| 14 Jul 2026 | JUN | 97.4 | 95.8 | 95.3 |
| 9 Jun 2026 | MAY | 95.3 | 96.0 | 95.9 |
| 12 May 2026 | APR | 95.9 | 96.1 | 95.8 |
| 14 Apr 2026 | MAR | 95.8 | 98.6 | 98.8 |
| 10 Mar 2026 | FEB | 98.8 | 99.7 | 99.3 |
| 10 Feb 2026 | JAN | 99.3 | 99.9 | 99.5 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | DEC | 99.5 | 99.5 | 99.0 |
| 9 Dec 2025 | NOV | 99.0 | 98.4 | 98.2 |
| 11 Nov 2025 | OCT | 98.2 | 98.3 | 98.8 |
Por qué importa
Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.
Cómo se calcula
Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.
Qué significan los cambios
- The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
- A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.
Mayor de lo esperado: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Menor de lo esperado: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Una breve historia
Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.
Preguntas
What is the United States NFIB Business Optimism Index?
The United States NFIB Business Optimism Index asks companies in the United States how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
What was the latest United States NFIB Business Optimism Index?
97.9 for SEP, published on 13 October 2026 (consensus 98, previous 98.7).
When is the next United States NFIB Business Optimism Index?
On Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 11:00 UTC.
Solo contenido educativo, no asesoramiento de inversión. Las cifras son los resultados publicados según los registra nuestro calendario; las reacciones del mercado descritas son típicas, no garantizadas.