Inflation rate (consumer prices) · Poland
Poland Inflation Rate YoY Final
The Poland Inflation Rate YoY Final measures how much the prices that households in Poland pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
- Importancia
- Medium
- Publicado
- Monthly
- Próxima publicación
- Divisa
- PLN · Polish zloty
- Banco central
- The National Bank of Poland
Últimas cifras
El último dato, de SEP, se publicó el 2026-10-14 y fue 4.1%. Está por encima del consenso de 4.0%. Es más que 3.4% la vez anterior.
A higher figure than expected makes the National Bank of Poland more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Polish zloty and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
En las últimas 12 publicaciones osciló entre 2.4% y 4.1%, con una media de 3.0%. Ha subido tres publicaciones seguidas.
| Publicado | Para | Real | Consenso | Anterior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | SEP | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | AUG | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | JUL | 3% | 3% | 2.5% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | JUN | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | MAY | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% |
| 15 May 2026 | APR | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3% |
| 15 Apr 2026 | MAR | 3% | 3% | 2.4% |
| 15 Jan 2026 | DEC | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | NOV | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | OCT | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| 15 Oct 2025 | SEP | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| 15 Sep 2025 | AUG | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% |
Por qué importa
Inflation is what the National Bank of Poland is charged with controlling, so this is one of the most market-moving releases of the month. A figure above expectations makes rate hikes (or a longer wait for cuts) more likely, which usually lifts the Polish zloty and bond yields; a soft figure does the reverse. It also drives wages, pensions and benefits that are linked to prices.
Cómo se calcula
Statistics Poland (GUS) collects many thousands of prices every month (food, rent, energy, transport, clothing, services) and weights them by how much households spend on each, from household surveys. The index compares the cost of the basket with a base year; the inflation rate is the change from the same month a year earlier.
CPI = Σ (price now ÷ base price) × weight × 100
Inflation (yoy) = CPI ÷ CPI 12 months ago − 1Qué significan los cambios
- Above the central bank's target (usually 2%) and rising: pressure for higher rates.
- Look at the core rate and services prices to see if the move is broad or driven by energy and food.
- Base effects: a big jump a year ago drops out of the yearly rate and can make it fall even if prices keep rising.
- Markets react to the difference from the consensus, often to a single decimal.
Mayor de lo esperado: A higher figure than expected makes the National Bank of Poland more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Polish zloty and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Menor de lo esperado: A lower figure than expected gives the National Bank of Poland room to cut or hold rates lower: the Polish zloty tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Una breve historia
The United States began publishing a national consumer price index in 1919, the United Kingdom's index goes back to 1914. Inflation targeting, started by New Zealand in 1990, made this release the centre of monetary policy almost everywhere.
Preguntas
What is the Poland Inflation Rate YoY Final?
The Poland Inflation Rate YoY Final measures how much the prices that households in Poland pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
What was the latest Poland Inflation Rate YoY Final?
4.1% for SEP, published on 14 October 2026 (consensus 4.0%, previous 3.4%).
When is the next Poland Inflation Rate YoY Final?
On Friday 13 November 2026 at 08:30 UTC.
What is a good inflation rate?
Most central banks, including the National Bank of Poland in many cases, aim for about 2% a year: low enough not to erode savings, high enough to avoid deflation.
Why does the Poland Inflation Rate YoY Final move the Polish zloty?
Because it changes what traders expect the National Bank of Poland to do with the reference rate, and interest rates decide what holding the currency pays.
Solo contenido educativo, no asesoramiento de inversión. Las cifras son los resultados publicados según los registra nuestro calendario; las reacciones del mercado descritas son típicas, no garantizadas.