Core inflation · Mexico
Mexico Core Inflation Rate YoY
The Mexico Core Inflation Rate YoY measures the rise in consumer prices in Mexico without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).
- Importancia
- Medium
- Publicado
- Monthly
- Próxima publicación
- Divisa
- MXN · Mexican peso
- Banco central
- The Banco de México (Banxico)
- Mueve
- USDMXN
Últimas cifras
El último dato, de SEP, se publicó el 2026-10-08 y fue 3.75%. Está por debajo del consenso de 3.79%. Es menos que 3.88% la vez anterior.
A lower figure than expected gives the Banco de México (Banxico) room to cut or hold rates lower: the Mexican peso tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
En las últimas 12 publicaciones osciló entre 3.75% y 4.52%, con una media de 4.21%. Ha bajado tres publicaciones seguidas.
| Publicado | Para | Real | Consenso | Anterior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | SEP | 3.75% | 3.79% | 3.88% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | AUG | 3.88% | 3.93% | 3.95% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | JUL | 3.95% | 3.94% | 4.03% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | JUN | 4.03% | 4.10% | 4.19% |
| 9 Jun 2026 | MAY | 4.19% | 4.20% | 4.26% |
| 7 May 2026 | APR | 4.26% | 4.27% | 4.45% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | MAR | 4.45% | 4.46% | 4.5% |
| 9 Mar 2026 | FEB | 4.5% | 4.50% | 4.52% |
| 9 Feb 2026 | JAN | 4.52% | 4.50% | 4.33% |
| 8 Jan 2026 | DEC | 4.33% | 4.34% | 4.43% |
| 9 Dec 2025 | NOV | 4.43% | 4.34% | 4.28% |
| 7 Nov 2025 | OCT | 4.28% | 4.27% | 4.28% |
Por qué importa
Food and energy prices jump with harvests and oil, then fall back. The core rate shows the underlying trend that the Banco de México (Banxico) can actually influence, so it often moves markets more than the headline. Services inflation, driven by wages, is the stickiest part.
Cómo se calcula
INEGI takes the consumer price index basket, removes the excluded items and re-weights the rest; the change is measured month on month and against the same month a year earlier.
Core inflation (yoy) = core index ÷ core index 12 months ago − 1Qué significan los cambios
- A core rate falling towards the target lets the Banco de México (Banxico) ease; a stubborn core keeps rates high.
- Monthly core changes of 0.2% compound to about 2.4% a year; 0.3% to about 3.7%.
- Markets compare the figure with the consensus to one decimal; a 0.1-point surprise moves currencies.
Mayor de lo esperado: A higher figure than expected makes the Banco de México (Banxico) more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Mexican peso and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Menor de lo esperado: A lower figure than expected gives the Banco de México (Banxico) room to cut or hold rates lower: the Mexican peso tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Una breve historia
Economists Robert Gordon and others popularised excluding food and energy in the 1970s, when oil shocks made the headline rate misleading; most central banks now publish or watch a core measure.
Preguntas
What is the Mexico Core Inflation Rate YoY?
The Mexico Core Inflation Rate YoY measures the rise in consumer prices in Mexico without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).
What was the latest Mexico Core Inflation Rate YoY?
3.75% for SEP, published on 8 October 2026 (consensus 3.79%, previous 3.88%).
When is the next Mexico Core Inflation Rate YoY?
On Monday 9 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC.
Solo contenido educativo, no asesoramiento de inversión. Las cifras son los resultados publicados según los registra nuestro calendario; las reacciones del mercado descritas son típicas, no garantizadas.