Purchasing managers' index (PMI) · Japan

Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index

The Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of purchasing managers in Japan that measures whether business activity, new orders, employment and prices are rising or falling.

Importancia
Medium
Publicado
Quarterly
Próxima publicación
Divisa
JPY · Japanese yen
Banco central
The Bank of Japan
Mueve
AUDJPY · CADJPY · CHFJPY · EURJPY · GBPJPY · NZDJPY · SGDJPY · USDJPY

Últimas cifras

El último dato, de Q3, se publicó el 2026-09-30 y fue 35. Está por debajo del consenso de 36. Es menos que 37 la vez anterior.

A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

En las últimas 7 publicaciones osciló entre 34 y 37, con una media de 35.

Mar 2025: 35Jun 2025: 34Sep 2025: 34Dec 2025: 34Mar 2026: 36Jun 2026: 37Sep 2026: 35 Mar 2025Sep 2026
Resultados reales; la línea corta sobre una barra marca el consenso.
PublicadoParaRealConsensoAnterior
30 Sep 2026Q3353637
30 Jun 2026Q2373536
31 Mar 2026Q1363334
14 Dec 2025Q4343534
30 Sep 2025Q3343434
30 Jun 2025Q2343435
31 Mar 2025Q1353333

Verlo en el calendario económico →

Por qué importa

PMIs are among the first data published for each month, weeks before official output figures, and they have a good record of tracking GDP. A reading above 50 means growth, below 50 contraction. Flash (preliminary) PMIs for the major economies can move currencies and stock indices strongly.

Cómo se calcula

Companies answer whether each item (output, new orders, employment, delivery times, stocks of purchases) is higher, the same or lower than a month earlier. Each answer set becomes a diffusion index; the manufacturing headline is a weighted average of five of them, the services headline is the activity question.

Diffusion index = % higher + ½ × % same
Manufacturing PMI = 0.30 new orders + 0.25 output + 0.20 employment + 0.15 delivery times (inverted) + 0.10 stocks

Qué significan los cambios

  • Above 50 and rising: an accelerating economy, supportive for the Japanese yen and local stocks.
  • The composite PMI combines manufacturing and services and is the best single guide to GDP.
  • Look at new orders (future activity) and prices charged (inflation pressure).

Mayor de lo esperado: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

Menor de lo esperado: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

Una breve historia

The PMI method comes from the US purchasing managers' survey of the 1940s; the PMIs now produced for more than 40 countries started in the UK in 1992 and spread across Europe and Asia in the following decades.

Preguntas

What is the Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index?

The Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of purchasing managers in Japan that measures whether business activity, new orders, employment and prices are rising or falling.

What was the latest Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index?

35 for Q3, published on 30 September 2026 (consensus 36, previous 37).

When is the next Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index?

On Sunday 13 December 2026 at 23:50 UTC.

Why is 50 the key level of a PMI?

It is the point where as many companies report improvement as report deterioration: above it, activity is growing.

Solo contenido educativo, no asesoramiento de inversión. Las cifras son los resultados publicados según los registra nuestro calendario; las reacciones del mercado descritas son típicas, no garantizadas.