Purchasing managers' index (PMI) · Japan
Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index
The Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of purchasing managers in Japan that measures whether business activity, new orders, employment and prices are rising or falling.
- Importancia
- Medium
- Publicado
- Quarterly
- Próxima publicación
- Divisa
- JPY · Japanese yen
- Banco central
- The Bank of Japan
Últimas cifras
El último dato, de Q3, se publicó el 2026-09-30 y fue 35. Está por debajo del consenso de 36. Es menos que 37 la vez anterior.
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
En las últimas 7 publicaciones osciló entre 34 y 37, con una media de 35.
| Publicado | Para | Real | Consenso | Anterior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | Q3 | 35 | 36 | 37 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Q2 | 37 | 35 | 36 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Q1 | 36 | 33 | 34 |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Q4 | 34 | 35 | 34 |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Q3 | 34 | 34 | 34 |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Q2 | 34 | 34 | 35 |
| 31 Mar 2025 | Q1 | 35 | 33 | 33 |
Por qué importa
PMIs are among the first data published for each month, weeks before official output figures, and they have a good record of tracking GDP. A reading above 50 means growth, below 50 contraction. Flash (preliminary) PMIs for the major economies can move currencies and stock indices strongly.
Cómo se calcula
Companies answer whether each item (output, new orders, employment, delivery times, stocks of purchases) is higher, the same or lower than a month earlier. Each answer set becomes a diffusion index; the manufacturing headline is a weighted average of five of them, the services headline is the activity question.
Diffusion index = % higher + ½ × % same
Manufacturing PMI = 0.30 new orders + 0.25 output + 0.20 employment + 0.15 delivery times (inverted) + 0.10 stocksQué significan los cambios
- Above 50 and rising: an accelerating economy, supportive for the Japanese yen and local stocks.
- The composite PMI combines manufacturing and services and is the best single guide to GDP.
- Look at new orders (future activity) and prices charged (inflation pressure).
Mayor de lo esperado: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Menor de lo esperado: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Una breve historia
The PMI method comes from the US purchasing managers' survey of the 1940s; the PMIs now produced for more than 40 countries started in the UK in 1992 and spread across Europe and Asia in the following decades.
Preguntas
What is the Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index?
The Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of purchasing managers in Japan that measures whether business activity, new orders, employment and prices are rising or falling.
What was the latest Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index?
35 for Q3, published on 30 September 2026 (consensus 36, previous 37).
When is the next Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index?
On Sunday 13 December 2026 at 23:50 UTC.
Why is 50 the key level of a PMI?
It is the point where as many companies report improvement as report deterioration: above it, activity is growing.
Solo contenido educativo, no asesoramiento de inversión. Las cifras son los resultados publicados según los registra nuestro calendario; las reacciones del mercado descritas son típicas, no garantizadas.