Government bond yield · Italy
Italy 3-Year BTP Auction
The Italy 3-Year BTP Auction is the yield on Italy's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- Importancia
- Low
- Publicado
- Monthly
- Divisa
- EUR · euro
- Banco central
- The European Central Bank (with the Banca d'Italia)
Últimas cifras
El último dato se publicó el 2026-10-13 y fue 3.69%. Es más que 3.43% la vez anterior.
En las últimas 12 publicaciones osciló entre 2.36% y 3.69%, con una media de 2.83%. Ha subido tres publicaciones seguidas.
| Publicado | Para | Real | Consenso | Anterior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | – | 3.69% | – | 3.43% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | – | 3.43% | – | 2.98% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | – | 2.98% | – | 3.03% |
| 11 Jun 2026 | – | 3.03% | – | 2.98% |
| 13 May 2026 | – | 2.98% | – | 2.91% |
| 10 Apr 2026 | – | 2.91% | – | 2.75% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | – | 2.75% | – | 2.36% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | – | 2.36% | – | 2.48% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | – | 2.48% | – | 2.58% |
| 11 Dec 2025 | – | 2.58% | – | 2.38% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | – | 2.38% | – | 2.36% |
| 14 Oct 2025 | – | 2.36% | – | 2.44% |
Por qué importa
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the European Central Bank (with the Banca d'Italia)'s policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the euro; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
Cómo se calcula
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationQué significan los cambios
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
Una breve historia
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
Preguntas
What is the Italy 3-Year BTP Auction?
The Italy 3-Year BTP Auction is the yield on Italy's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest Italy 3-Year BTP Auction?
3.69%, published on 13 October 2026.
Solo contenido educativo, no asesoramiento de inversión. Las cifras son los resultados publicados según los registra nuestro calendario; las reacciones del mercado descritas son típicas, no garantizadas.