Brazil 10-Year NTN-F Auction

Últimas cifras

El último dato se publicó el 2025-03-27 y fue 14.972%. Es más que 14.723% la vez anterior.

En las últimas 9 publicaciones osciló entre 14.704% y 15.194%, con una media de 14.933%.

Verlo en el calendario económico →

Por qué importa

Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Banco Central do Brasil's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the Brazilian real; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.

Cómo se calcula

The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.

Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflation

Qué significan los cambios

• Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
• An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
• Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.

Una breve historia

Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.

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