Interest rate decision · United Kingdom
United Kingdom BoE GreeneSpeech
The United Kingdom BoE GreeneSpeech is the Bank of England's announcement of its main policy rate, Bank Rate. It is the price of money in the United Kingdom: banks' borrowing costs, mortgage and loan rates and the return on cash all move with it.
- Wichtigkeit
- High
- Währung
- GBP · pound sterling
- Zentralbank
- The Bank of England
Neueste Zahlen
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Warum es wichtig ist
No release moves markets more directly. The rate decides what holding the pound sterling pays, so the currency, government bond yields, bank shares and the whole stock market react within seconds. Markets usually price the decision in advance, so the surprise, and the tone of the statement and press conference, matter as much as the number: a hold with a hawkish message can lift the currency more than an expected hike.
So wird gerechnet
There is nothing to calculate: the rate is set by a vote of the central bank's policy committee at scheduled meetings. The committee weighs inflation against its target, the labour market, growth and financial conditions. Most decisions move in steps of 0.25 percentage point; 0.50 or more signals urgency.
Taylor rule (a rough guide many economists use):
rate ≈ neutral rate + inflation + 0.5 × (inflation − target) + 0.5 × output gapWas Veränderungen bedeuten
- Compare the decision with the consensus: a surprise move is rare and causes the largest reactions.
- Read the statement for changes in wording; "further tightening may be needed" versus "policy is appropriate" is what traders act on.
- Look at the vote split: dissents in one direction often foreshadow the next move.
- A hike or hawkish hold usually lifts the pound sterling and bond yields; a cut or dovish tone does the opposite. Stocks usually prefer lower rates unless the cut signals a weakening economy.
Höher als erwartet: A higher rate than expected (or a hawkish surprise) usually lifts the pound sterling and bond yields and weighs on stocks.
Niedriger als erwartet: A lower rate than expected usually weakens the pound sterling, lowers bond yields and supports stocks.
Eine kurze Geschichte
Central banks have set lending rates since the Bank of England raised its Bank Rate in the 18th and 19th centuries to defend its gold reserves. Since New Zealand adopted formal inflation targeting in 1990, most central banks set rates to keep inflation near a target, usually 2%.
Fragen
What is the United Kingdom BoE GreeneSpeech?
The United Kingdom BoE GreeneSpeech is the Bank of England's announcement of its main policy rate, Bank Rate. It is the price of money in the United Kingdom: banks' borrowing costs, mortgage and loan rates and the return on cash all move with it.
When is the United Kingdom BoE GreeneSpeech announced?
On the dates of the Bank of England's scheduled policy meetings, published a year in advance; the calendar above shows the next one.
Why do markets move before the decision?
Interest-rate futures and swaps price the expected decision days ahead; on the day, only the difference from those expectations moves prices.
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