Purchasing managers' index (PMI) · Euro Area
Euro Area HCOB Composite PMI Final
The Euro Area HCOB Composite PMI Final is a monthly survey of purchasing managers in the Euro Area that measures whether business activity, new orders, employment and prices are rising or falling.
- Wichtigkeit
- High
- Währung
- EUR · euro
- Zentralbank
- The European Central Bank
Neueste Zahlen
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Warum es wichtig ist
PMIs are among the first data published for each month, weeks before official output figures, and they have a good record of tracking GDP. A reading above 50 means growth, below 50 contraction. Flash (preliminary) PMIs for the major economies can move currencies and stock indices strongly.
So wird gerechnet
Companies answer whether each item (output, new orders, employment, delivery times, stocks of purchases) is higher, the same or lower than a month earlier. Each answer set becomes a diffusion index; the manufacturing headline is a weighted average of five of them, the services headline is the activity question.
Diffusion index = % higher + ½ × % same
Manufacturing PMI = 0.30 new orders + 0.25 output + 0.20 employment + 0.15 delivery times (inverted) + 0.10 stocksWas Veränderungen bedeuten
- Above 50 and rising: an accelerating economy, supportive for the euro and local stocks.
- The composite PMI combines manufacturing and services and is the best single guide to GDP.
- Look at new orders (future activity) and prices charged (inflation pressure).
Höher als erwartet: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the euro and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Niedriger als erwartet: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the euro tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Eine kurze Geschichte
The PMI method comes from the US purchasing managers' survey of the 1940s; the PMIs now produced for more than 40 countries started in the UK in 1992 and spread across Europe and Asia in the following decades.
Fragen
What is the Euro Area HCOB Composite PMI Final?
The Euro Area HCOB Composite PMI Final is a monthly survey of purchasing managers in the Euro Area that measures whether business activity, new orders, employment and prices are rising or falling.
Why is 50 the key level of a PMI?
It is the point where as many companies report improvement as report deterioration: above it, activity is growing.
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