Oscillators

RSI: Relative Strength Index

RSI is a score from 0 to 100 that compares the size of recent gains with recent losses. Above 70 is often called overbought, below 30 oversold.

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الفكرة بكلمات بسيطة

If most of the recent candles closed higher and by large amounts, buyers have been very strong, and RSI is high. RSI does not say the price must fall; it says the rise has been unusually one-sided.

طريقة الحساب

Over the last 14 candles, average the gains (on up candles) and the losses (on down candles) using Wilder's smoothing. Their ratio is turned into a 0–100 scale.

Average gain and average loss over 14 candles (Wilder smoothing)
RS = average gain ÷ average loss
RSI = 100 − 100 ÷ (1 + RS)

كيفية الاستخدام

Above 70: strong, possibly overextended. Below 30: weak, possibly oversold. In strong trends, use 80/20 instead.
Divergence: price makes a new high, RSI does not: the rise is losing strength.
The 50 line: RSI above 50 in an uptrend, below 50 in a downtrend.

استخلاص النتائج

RSI can stay above 70 for a long time in a strong uptrend: treat it as strength until it turns down.
A drop back below 70 (or a rise back above 30) is a better signal than the first touch.

مثال

Average gain over 14 days 0.40, average loss 0.20: RS = 2, RSI = 100 − 100 ÷ 3 = 66.7. Gold reaches RSI 78 after a two-week rally; it pauses for a week while RSI cools to 55, then resumes the rise.

الأسعار في الأمثلة للتوضيح.

ما يجب الانتباه إليه

"Overbought" is not a sell signal on its own.
Shorter periods (for example 7) are faster but noisier.

لمحة تاريخية

J. Welles Wilder Jr., 1978, "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems". It is probably the most widely used oscillator today.

محتوى تعليمي فقط. لا يتنبأ أي مؤشر أو نمط بالمستقبل، ولا شيء هنا يُعد نصيحة استثمارية.