PCE and GDP price indexes · United States
United States Core PCE Prices QoQ
The United States Core PCE Prices QoQ measures the prices of everything households (PCE) or the whole economy (deflator) buy. In the United States it is one of the main measures of inflation.
- الأهمية
- Medium
- العملة
- USD · US dollar
- البنك المركزي
- The Federal Reserve
أحدث الأرقام
صدر آخر إصدار، عن Q3، في 2025-12-23 وجاء عند 2.9%. هذا مطابق للإجماع البالغ 2.9%. هذا أعلى من 2.6% في المرة السابقة.
النتيجة المطابقة للتوقعات تُحدث عادةً ردة فعل ضعيفة: فقد كانت مُسعَّرة مسبقًا.
| صدر | المدة | الفعلي | التوقعات | السابق |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | Q3 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
لماذا يهم
In the United States the Federal Reserve's 2% target is defined on the PCE price index, and the core measure (without food and energy) is the one policymakers quote most. Because CPI comes out first, markets usually know roughly what PCE will show; surprises come from the parts measured differently, such as health care.
طريقة الحساب
PCE prices are built from the same price data as CPI and producer prices, but weighted by what households actually spend (including what is paid on their behalf, like employer health insurance), and the weights change every period. The GDP deflator divides nominal GDP by real GDP.
Deflator = nominal GDP ÷ real GDP × 100
PCE inflation = PCE index ÷ PCE index a year ago − 1ما تعنيه التغيرات
- Core PCE above 2% and rising keeps the Fed cautious about cutting rates.
- The monthly change annualised (× 12) shows the latest pace; three-month averages smooth the noise.
أعلى من المتوقع: A higher figure than expected makes the Federal Reserve more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the US dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
أقل من المتوقع: A lower figure than expected gives the Federal Reserve room to cut or hold rates lower: the US dollar tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
لمحة تاريخية قصيرة
The Fed switched its preferred inflation measure from CPI to PCE in 2000 and wrote the 2% PCE target into its strategy in 2012.
الأسئلة
What is the United States Core PCE Prices QoQ?
The United States Core PCE Prices QoQ measures the prices of everything households (PCE) or the whole economy (deflator) buy. In the United States it is one of the main measures of inflation.
What was the latest United States Core PCE Prices QoQ?
2.9% for Q3, published on 23 December 2025 (consensus 2.9%, previous 2.6%).
محتوى تعليمي فقط، وليس نصيحة استثمارية. الأرقام هي النتائج المنشورة كما سجّلتها مفكرتنا؛ وردود فعل السوق الموصوفة نموذجية وليست مضمونة.