Government bond yield · United States
United States 4-Week Bill Auction
The United States 4-Week Bill Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- الأهمية
- Low
- صدر
- Weekly
- الإصدار التالي
- العملة
- USD · US dollar
- البنك المركزي
- The Federal Reserve
أحدث الأرقام
صدر آخر إصدار في 2026-11-05 وجاء عند 3.890%. هذا أقل من 3.910% في المرة السابقة.
خلال آخر 12 إصدارات تراوح بين 3.640% و4.000%، بمتوسط 3.837%. ظل يتراجع لثلاثة إصدارات متتالية.
| صدر | المدة | الفعلي | التوقعات | السابق |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2026 | – | 3.890% | – | 3.910% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | – | 3.910% | – | 3.945% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | – | 3.945% | – | 4.000% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | – | 4.000% | – | 3.980% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | – | 3.980% | – | 3.89% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | – | 3.89% | – | 3.85% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | – | 3.850% | – | 3.820% |
| 17 Sep 2026 | – | 3.820% | – | 3.775% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | – | 3.775% | – | 3.700% |
| 3 Sep 2026 | – | 3.700% | – | 3.650% |
| 27 Aug 2026 | – | 3.650% | – | 3.640% |
| 20 Aug 2026 | – | 3.640% | – | 3.625% |
لماذا يهم
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Federal Reserve's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the US dollar; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
طريقة الحساب
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationما تعنيه التغيرات
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
لمحة تاريخية قصيرة
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
الأسئلة
What is the United States 4-Week Bill Auction?
The United States 4-Week Bill Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest United States 4-Week Bill Auction?
3.890%, published on 5 November 2026.
When is the next United States 4-Week Bill Auction?
On Thursday 12 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC.
محتوى تعليمي فقط، وليس نصيحة استثمارية. الأرقام هي النتائج المنشورة كما سجّلتها مفكرتنا؛ وردود فعل السوق الموصوفة نموذجية وليست مضمونة.